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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-08-05T16:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-08-05T16:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32565/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 imagery and is not seen in STEREO A COR2 due to a data gap. The source is likely an eruption and X1.1 flare from Active Region 13780 (S10E55) starting around 2024-08-05T15:20Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. No CME arrival signatures in solar wind at L1 on 2024-08-06 through 2024-08-09.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-08-08T16:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 68.05 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-08-05T19:57Z

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